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	<title>Donald Marron &#187; Data</title>
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	<description>Musings on Economics, Finance, and Life</description>
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		<title>Donald Marron &#187; Data</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com</link>
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		<item>
		<title>Child Mortality and Development, the Video</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2011/11/02/child-mortality-and-development-the-video/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2011/11/02/child-mortality-and-development-the-video/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Nov 2011 21:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Development]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=5364</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Courtesy of Bill Gates, here&#8217;s Hans Rosling talking child mortality and development. (Gates emphasizes foreign aid in his description, but that seems secondary compared to development generally.) Hans Rosling Breaks Down the Impact of Foreign Aid from bgC3 on Vimeo.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=5364&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Courtesy of Bill Gates, here&#8217;s Hans Rosling talking child mortality and development. </p>
<p> (Gates emphasizes foreign aid in his description, but that seems secondary compared to development generally.)</p>
<div class='embed-vimeo' style='text-align:center;'><iframe src='http://player.vimeo.com/video/31413464' width='400' height='225' frameborder='0'></iframe></div>
<p>Hans Rosling Breaks Down the Impact of Foreign Aid from <a href="http://vimeo.com/billgates">bgC3</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Better Than Feared, But Still Mediocre</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2011/08/05/better-than-feared-but-still-mediocre/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2011/08/05/better-than-feared-but-still-mediocre/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Aug 2011 15:25:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=5007</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[America&#8217;s job market has been down so long, today&#8217;s mediocre report looked like up. The headline figures &#8212; payrolls up 117,000, unemployment rate down a tic to 9.1% &#8212; were better than most forecasters anticipated. That&#8217;s a relief. And many details moved in the right direction as well. Revisions to May and June added another [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=5007&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>America&#8217;s job market has been down so long, today&#8217;s mediocre report looked like up.</p>
<p>The headline figures &#8212; payrolls up 117,000, unemployment rate down a tic to 9.1% &#8212; were better than most forecasters anticipated. That&#8217;s a relief.</p>
<p>And many details moved in the right direction as well. Revisions to May and June added another 56,000 jobs, the U-6 measure of underemployment ticked down to 16.1%, and hourly earnings were up 0.4%.</p>
<p>But we still need much stronger job growth if we are ever going to get America back to work. Both unemployment and underemployment remain stubbornly high:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/unemployment-july-2011.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5008" title="Unemployment July 2011" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/unemployment-july-2011.jpg?w=500&#038;h=340" alt="" width="500" height="340" /></a></p>
<p>(The U-6 measures includes the officially unemployed, marginally attached workers, and those who are working part-time but want full-time work.)</p>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/unemployment-july-2011.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Unemployment July 2011</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Ranking U.S. Economic Recoveries</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2011/07/26/ranking-u-s-economic-recoveries/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2011/07/26/ranking-u-s-economic-recoveries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jul 2011 14:23:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Graphics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=4946</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal has a lovely graphic this morning illustrating the strengths and weaknesses of U.S. economic recoveries since World War II. No surprise, the current recovery is long on weaknesses and short on strengths: The graphic is based on a very similar one the IMF included in its recent overview of the U.S. economy [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=4946&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903999904576467992755434916.html">Wall Street Journal </a>has a lovely graphic this morning illustrating the strengths and weaknesses of U.S. economic recoveries since World War II.</p>
<p>No surprise, the current recovery is long on weaknesses and short on strengths:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/wsj-imf-us-economy.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4947" title="WSJ - IMF - US Economy" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/wsj-imf-us-economy.jpg?w=500&#038;h=583" alt="" width="500" height="583" /></a></p>
<p>The graphic is based on a very similar one the IMF included in its recent <a href="http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2011/cr11201.pdf">overview of the U.S. economy </a>(officially known as the 2011 Article IV Consultation).  I&#8217;ve pasted the original IMF graphic below.</p>
<p><span id="more-4946"></span>The IMF one is excellent, but it&#8217;s instructive to note the many ways the WSJ graphics team made it even better (e.g., by transposing the columns and rows):</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/imf-us-economy-original.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4948" title="IMF - US Economy - Original" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/imf-us-economy-original.jpg?w=500&#038;h=384" alt="" width="500" height="384" /></a></p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/wsj-imf-us-economy.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">WSJ - IMF - US Economy</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/imf-us-economy-original.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">IMF - US Economy - Original</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Zanran: Google for Data?</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2011/05/13/zanran-google-for-data/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2011/05/13/zanran-google-for-data/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 May 2011 21:04:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Search]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wolfram Alpha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zanran]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=4666</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Zanran is a new search engine, now in beta testing, that focuses on charts and tables. As its website says: Zanran helps you to find ‘semi-structured’ data on the web. This is the numerical data that people have presented as graphs and tables and charts. For example, the data could be a graph in a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=4666&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.zanran.com">Zanran</a> is a new search engine, now in beta testing, that focuses on charts and tables. As its website says:</p>
<blockquote><p>Zanran helps you to find ‘semi-structured’ data on the web. This is the numerical data that people have presented as graphs and tables and charts. For example, the data could be a graph in a PDF report, or a table in an Excel spreadsheet, or a barchart shown as an image in an HTML page. This huge amount of information can be difficult to find using conventional search engines, which are focused primarily on finding text rather than graphs, tables and bar charts.</p>
<p>Put more simply: Zanran is Google for data.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is a stellar idea. The web holds phenomenal amounts of data that are hard to find buried inside documents. And Zanran offers a fast way to find and scan through documents that may have relevant material. Particularly helpful is the ability to hover your cursor over each document to see the chart Zanran&#8217;s thinks you are interested in before you click through to the document.</p>
<p>Zanran is clearly in beta, however, and has some major challenges ahead. Perhaps most important are determining which results should rank high and identifying recent data. If you type &#8220;<a href="http://www.zanran.com/q/united_states_gdp?page=1" target="_blank">united states GDP</a>&#8221; into Zanran, for example, the top results are rather idiosyncratic and there&#8217;s nothing on the first few pages that directs you to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Google, in contrast, has the <a href="http://www.google.com/search?client=safari&amp;rls=en&amp;q=united+states+gdp&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8" target="_blank">BEA as its third result</a>. And its first result is a graphical display of GDP data via Google&#8217;s Public Data project. Too bad, though, it goes up only to 2009. For some reason, both Google and Zanran think the CIA is the best place to get U.S. GDP data. It is a good source for international comparisons, but it falls out of date.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s wishing Zanran good luck in strengthening its search results as its competes with Google, Wolfram Alpha, and others in the data search.</p>
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		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>A Tepid Quarter for GDP</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2011/04/28/a-tepid-quarter-for-gdp/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2011/04/28/a-tepid-quarter-for-gdp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Apr 2011 02:16:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=4603</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thursday morning brought the first official look at GDP growth in the first quarter. Headline growth was a disappointing, if not surprising, 1.8%. Here&#8217;s my usual graph of how various components of the economy contributed to overall growth: Consumers continued to spend at a moderate pace; their spending grew at a 2.7% rate, thus adding [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=4603&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thursday morning brought the <a href="http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2011/pdf/gdp1q11_adv.pdf">first official look at GDP growth</a> in the first quarter. Headline growth was a disappointing, if not surprising, 1.8%.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s my usual graph of how various components of the economy contributed to overall growth:</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4604" title="GDP Q1 2011 First Look" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/gdp-q1-2011-first-look.jpg?w=500&#038;h=340" alt="" width="500" height="340" /></p>
<p>Consumers continued to spend at a moderate pace; their spending grew at a 2.7% rate, thus adding 1.9 percentage points to overall growth. Equipment and software investment (up at a 12.6% rate), inventories, and exports also contributed to growth.</p>
<p>Residential investment fell back into negative territory, reflecting the latest down leg in the housing market. But the real negatives were structures (down at a 21.7% rate, thus cutting 0.6 percentage points from growth) and government (down at a 5.2% rate). Defense spending fell sharply (11.7% rate), and state and local continued its decline (down at a 3.3% rate).</p>
<p><em><strong>Note:</strong></em> As usual, imports subtracted from growth as conventionally measured. As discussed in <a href="http://dmarron.com/2010/08/27/further-signs-of-a-slowdown/">this post</a> and <a href="http://dmarron.com/2010/06/25/consumer-spending-is-60-of-the-economy-not-70/">this post</a>, I&#8217;d like to see GDP contributions data that allocate imports across the other sectors. Such data would reveal, for example, how much consumer spending contributed to growth in the U.S. economy itself. Presumably it&#8217;s less than the 1.9 percentage points shown in the chart, which reflects consumer spending that was satisfied by both domestic and international production, but we don&#8217;t know by how much.</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/gdp-q1-2011-first-look.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">GDP Q1 2011 First Look</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>200 Countries, 200 Years, 4 Minutes</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2010/12/02/200-countries-200-years-4-minutes/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2010/12/02/200-countries-200-years-4-minutes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Dec 2010 21:00:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Visualization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=4100</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Courtesy of the BBC. here&#8217;s the newest version of Hans Rosling&#8217;s famous presentation on economic growth and life expectancy. Keep an eye out for the moments in history when life expectancy plummets.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=4100&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Courtesy of the BBC. here&#8217;s the newest version of Hans Rosling&#8217;s famous presentation on economic growth and life expectancy. Keep an eye out for the moments in history when life expectancy plummets.</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://dmarron.com/2010/12/02/200-countries-200-years-4-minutes/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/jbkSRLYSojo/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>
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		<item>
		<title>October Rail Traffic &#8211; Still Upbeat</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2010/11/08/october-rail-traffic-still-upbeat/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2010/11/08/october-rail-traffic-still-upbeat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Nov 2010 02:34:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=3951</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[October was another solid month for America’s railroads, according to the Association for American Railroads. October traffic was 11% higher than the depressed levels of a year ago: Intermodal traffic (think trailers and containers) is up 14% over 2009, thus returning to 2008 levels: Carloads (think bulk materials like coal, grains, minerals, and chemicals plus autos) [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=3951&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>October was another solid month for America’s railroads, according to the <a href="http://www.aar.org/NewsAndEvents/Rail-Time-Indicators.aspx">Association for American Railroads</a>. October traffic was 11% higher than the depressed levels of a year ago:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3952" title="Rail Time Indicators October 2010" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010.jpg?w=500&#038;h=350" alt="" width="500" height="350" /></a></p>
<p>Intermodal traffic (think trailers and containers) is up 14% over 2009, thus returning to 2008 levels:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-intermodal.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3953" title="Rail Time Indicators October 2010 Intermodal" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-intermodal.jpg?w=500&#038;h=355" alt="" width="500" height="355" /></a></p>
<p>Carloads (think bulk materials like coal, grains, minerals, and chemicals plus autos) are up almost 9%:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-carloads.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3954" title="Rail Time Indicators October 2010 Carloads" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-carloads.jpg?w=500&#038;h=352" alt="" width="500" height="352" /></a></p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Rail Time Indicators October 2010</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-intermodal.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Rail Time Indicators October 2010 Intermodal</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/rail-time-indicators-october-2010-carloads.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Rail Time Indicators October 2010 Carloads</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Another Tepid Quarter for GDP</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2010/10/30/another-tepid-quarter-for-gdp/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2010/10/30/another-tepid-quarter-for-gdp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Oct 2010 16:17:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=3902</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[BEA released its first estimates for third-quarter GDP yesterday. Headline growth was a disappointing, if not surprising, 2.0%. Here&#8217;s my usual graph of how various components of the economy contributed to overall growth: Housing fell back into the red, while non-residential structures eked out a small gain. Consumers continued to spend at a moderate pace [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=3902&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BEA released its <a href="http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2010/pdf/gdp3q10_adv.pdf">first estimates for third-quarter GDP</a> yesterday. Headline growth was a disappointing, if not surprising, 2.0%.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s my usual graph of how various components of the economy contributed to overall growth:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/gdp-2010-q3-first.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3903" title="GDP 2010 Q3 First" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/gdp-2010-q3-first.jpg?w=500&#038;h=340" alt="" width="500" height="340" /></a></p>
<p>Housing fell back into the red, while non-residential structures eked out a small gain. Consumers continued to spend at a moderate pace (consumer spending grew at a 2.6% rate, thus adding 1.8 percentage points to growth). But the big stories were the continued boost from inventories, and the continued drag (in GDP-accounting terms) from imports.</p>
<p>The pessimistic take on inventories (see, for example, this <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/Nouriel/status/29090157295">tweet from Nouriel Roubini</a>) is that the third quarter build up was unintentional, and thus is bearish for fourth quarter growth. The optimistic take, I suppose, is that maybe businesses see stronger demand ahead. But that feels rather, er, speculative.</p>
<p>For my usual set of caveats about the import figures (and, therefore, all of these figures), see <a href="http://dmarron.com/2010/08/27/further-signs-of-a-slowdown/">my last post on the GDP numbers</a>.</p>
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		<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/gdp-2010-q3-first.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">GDP 2010 Q3 First</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Happy World Statistics Day</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2010/10/20/happy-world-statistics-day/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2010/10/20/happy-world-statistics-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Oct 2010 22:43:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dmarron.com/?p=3883</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Collecting and disseminating useful data about the economy, government finances, demographics, health, the environment, etc. can be a difficult business. Survey methodologies and estimation techniques are inevitably open to legitimate criticism and also attract a good deal of not-so-legitimate criticism (for examples of both, see the debate over the &#8220;birth death model&#8221; in estimating payroll employment). But all [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=3883&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Collecting and disseminating useful data about the economy, government finances, demographics, health, the environment, etc. can be a difficult business. Survey methodologies and estimation techniques are inevitably open to legitimate criticism and also attract a good deal of not-so-legitimate criticism (for examples of both, see the debate over the &#8220;<a href="http://www.google.com/search?q=birth+death+model&amp;sourceid=ie7&amp;rls=com.microsoft:en-us:IE-SearchBox&amp;ie=&amp;oe=#sclient=psy&amp;hl=en&amp;rls=com.microsoft:en-us%3AIE-SearchBox&amp;q=birth+death+model&amp;aq=f&amp;aqi=&amp;aql=&amp;oq=birth+death+model&amp;gs_rfai=&amp;pbx=1&amp;fp=6cd6d4c3e6deab23">birth death model</a>&#8221; in estimating payroll employment). But all in all, I think our official statisticians perform a valuable service.</p>
<p>So in honor of the first <a href="http://unstats.un.org/unsd/wsd/">World Statistics Day</a>, let me quote from <a href="http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2010/sgsm13159.doc.htm">UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>I commend the dedication that many statistical experts bring to their reports and publications.  They carry out an essential public service — one that promotes peace and democracy by giving citizens reliable and impartial public information about their communities.  Their core values — service, integrity and professionalism — deserve full support in all nations.</p></blockquote>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>August Rail Traffic, An Upbeat Economic Indicator</title>
		<link>http://dmarron.com/2010/09/06/august-rail-traffic-an-upbeat-economic-indicator/</link>
		<comments>http://dmarron.com/2010/09/06/august-rail-traffic-an-upbeat-economic-indicator/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Sep 2010 13:01:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Donald Marron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[August was a busy month for America&#8217;s railroads, according to the Association for American Railroads. Traffic spiked up, as often happens during the month. More importantly, August traffic was 11% higher than a year ago (the same gain as reported in July): Carloads (think bulk materials like coal, grains, minerals, and chemicals plus autos) are [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=dmarron.com&amp;blog=7621461&amp;post=3702&amp;subd=dmarron&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>August was a busy month for America&#8217;s railroads, according to the <a href="http://www.aar.org/NewsAndEvents/RailTimeIndicators.aspx">Association for American Railroads</a>. Traffic spiked up, as often happens during the month. More importantly, August traffic was 11% higher than a year ago (the same gain as <a href="http://dmarron.com/2010/08/09/tracking-the-economy/">reported in July</a>):</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-all-august-2010.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3703" title="RTI - All - August 2010" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-all-august-2010.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a>Carloads (think bulk materials like coal, grains, minerals, and chemicals plus autos) are up about 6% over 2009:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-carloads-august-2010.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3704" title="RTI - Carloads - August 2010" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-carloads-august-2010.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a></p>
<p>Intermodal traffic (think trailers and containers) is up almost 20%, thus returning to 2008 levels:</p>
<p><a href="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-intermdoal-august-2010.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3705" title="RTI - Intermdoal - August 2010" src="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-intermdoal-august-2010.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a></p>
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			<media:title type="html">Donald</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-all-august-2010.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">RTI - All - August 2010</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://dmarron.files.wordpress.com/2010/09/rti-carloads-august-2010.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">RTI - Carloads - August 2010</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">RTI - Intermdoal - August 2010</media:title>
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